With DFROG, the nowcasting model of DNB, we make an estimate of the current development of the Dutch economy.
This short-term estimate of the growth rate of the gross domestic product (gdp) in volumes is based on a large number of monthly economic and financial data and indicators, such as consumer and producer confidence.
The DFROG estimate is a mechanical projection to monitor the economic development and not an official projection as we publish in June and December.
See for more information about the nowcasting model: DFROG: Dutch Forecasting Model for Real Time Output Growth.
12 June 2026
Background
Higher energy prices, uncertainty, and cautious consumers and businesses are holding back growth. Our Spring Projections show that the impact on inflation remains moderate for the time being. Below, we highlight the key developments in five figures.
Read more The five key figures on the Dutch economy
12 June 2026
Background
Inflation and economic growth are linked to energy price movements. That is why we added two scenarios to our Spring Projections: an adverse and a severe scenario. Rather than predicting what will happen, they show what might happen if oil and gas prices stay high for longer and/or rise further.
Read more What if energy prices remain high for longer and uncertainty lingers?
12 June 2026
Press release
Growth in the Dutch economy is expected to be significantly lower this year than in 2025. This is largely due to the war in the Middle East, which has also caused inflation to rise in recent months. This is evident from the Spring Projections, published today by De Nederlandsche Bank (DNB).
Read more War in the Middle East is holding back economic growth and driving up inflation
05 June 2026
Background
The US dollar continues to play a major role in the global economy, but a shift is taking place. Central banks are holding relatively fewer dollar reserves than they did ten years ago. This is evident from recent figures from De Nederlandsche Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
Read more The dollar is losing ground as a reserve currency, but remains dominant