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Locked out by loyalty: entry deterrence through rebates in payment card markets

Working paper 856
Working Papers

Published: 07 April 2026

By: Vera Lubbersen

Payment card markets are globally dominated by a few large card networks, which give significant rebates to issuing banks. Policy makers are concerned about rising merchant fees and the overreliance on these networks’ payment services. A common assumption is that profitable entry is blockaded by the entry costs to set up the payment system and network, resulting in a monopolistic or duopolistic market structure. The question analyzed in this paper is under which conditions a card network sets rebates at a higher level such that competitors cannot profitably enter the market. Deterrence becomes more profitable for a large card network when transaction benefits increase - especially if issuing banks pass rebates through to cardholders. At the same time, entry becomes more blockaded if issuing banks face costs to switch their card issuance to a different card network - indicating that large card networks may use rebates to increase switching costs. These lock-in effects explain why domestic card networks are pushed aside and new card networks struggle to gain ground and may have important implications for payment regulation.

Keywords: Payment cards; Rebates; Entry deterrence; Interchange fee; Card networks
JEL codes L12; L13; L14; L20; L21

Working paper no. 856

856 - Locked out by loyalty: entry deterrence through rebates in payment card markets

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Research highlights:

  • Incumbent payment card networks can use rebates to issuing banks as a strategic tool to deter entry by competing networks.
  • Higher transaction benefits for consumers and merchants strengthen incentives for rebate-based entry deterrence, contributing to persistent concentration in card payment markets.
  • Unlike one‑sided markets—where entry deterrence reduces prices and may improve efficiency—the paper shows that in two‑sided payment markets deterrence raises merchant fees.

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