Higher export surplus boosts current account balance
The surplus on the current account of the Dutch balance of payments rose by €7.3 billion in the second quarter of 2023 (year-on-year) to €23.2 billion.
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DNB Business Cycle Indicator
In the middle of 2022, the Dutch economy has turned around. This is visible in the reference series of the DNB business cycle indicator, which is based on GDP growth (blue line). The leading indicator has been indicating this reversal for some time. The indicator continues to decline in the coming six months and will become negative from April 2023 (red line). This means that the business cycle is deteriorating, with GDP growth possibly below trend (on an annual basis).
A point of attention with the DNB business cycle indicator is that it is constructed to predict business cycle turning points and not to make predictions for GDP growth.
Data output DNB Business cycle indicator
25KB XLSX
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Netherlands' current account surplus revised upwards
The current account surplus of the Dutch balance of payments was higher in 2021 and 2022 than previously recorded. This is mainly due to higher adjusted profits of listed multinationals and larger exports than previously projected.
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