Locked out by loyalty: entry deterrence through rebates in payment card markets
Published: 07 April 2026
By: Vera Lubbersen
Payment card markets are globally dominated by a few large card networks, which give significant rebates to issuing banks. Policy makers are concerned about rising merchant fees and the overreliance on these networks’ payment services. A common assumption is that profitable entry is blockaded by the entry costs to set up the payment system and network, resulting in a monopolistic or duopolistic market structure. The question analyzed in this paper is under which conditions a card network sets rebates at a higher level such that competitors cannot profitably enter the market. Deterrence becomes more profitable for a large card network when transaction benefits increase - especially if issuing banks pass rebates through to cardholders. At the same time, entry becomes more blockaded if issuing banks face costs to switch their card issuance to a different card network - indicating that large card networks may use rebates to increase switching costs. These lock-in effects explain why domestic card networks are pushed aside and new card networks struggle to gain ground and may have important implications for payment regulation.
Keywords: Payment cards; Rebates; Entry deterrence; Interchange fee; Card networks
JEL codes L12; L13; L14; L20; L21
Working paper no. 856
856 - Locked out by loyalty: entry deterrence through rebates in payment card markets
Research highlights:
- Incumbent payment card networks can use rebates to issuing banks as a strategic tool to deter entry by competing networks.
- Higher transaction benefits for consumers and merchants strengthen incentives for rebate-based entry deterrence, contributing to persistent concentration in card payment markets.
- Unlike one‑sided markets—where entry deterrence reduces prices and may improve efficiency—the paper shows that in two‑sided payment markets deterrence raises merchant fees.
Discover related articles
DNB uses cookies
We use cookies to optimise the user-friendliness of our website.
Read more about the cookies we use and the data they collect in our cookie notice.