Households are buying equities despite falling stock market prices
The large losses on equities are due to sharply lower stock market prices, driven by the Russian invasion of Ukraine, inflation and rising interest rates, among other factors. For instance, the AEX index closed at 659 points at the end of the second quarter of 2022, down 9% from three months earlier. As recently as 17 November 2021, the index reached a record 827 points.
The value of the equity portfolio is highly responsive to stock market prices, and to a lesser extent to purchases and sales and exchange rate movements. Losses on the stock market were particularly pronounced in June 2022, when the AEX index fell by 6.9% and the value of Dutch households' investments declined by €4.5 billion.
While stock prices fell in the second quarter, Dutch households bought a net €874 million worth of equities. In the first quarter, when the value of equities fell by €2.9 billion, Dutch households still sold €33 million worth of equities (figures revised).
Decline in value across the board, especially in tech shares
Households suffered losses on almost all equities in the second quarter of 2022. The biggest drop in value occurred in tech shares. For instance, holdings in ASML decreased by €590 million (-21%) to €3 billion, and those in ASMI fell by €400 million (-35%) to €732 million. In addition, total investments in tech firms such as Amazon, Apple, Tesla and BE Semiconductors dropped sharply.
Positions in Rabobank Member Certificates, which according to statistical guidelines (ESA 2010) are considered part of equity capital, also contracted relatively sharply by €394 million (-12%) to €2.2 billion. This occurred despite net purchases of €213 million in the second quarter of 2022.
The value of investments in Shell, the company most heavily invested in by Dutch households, decreased by 4.7% (€245 million) to €5.0 billion as a result of net sales amounting to €260 million.
AEX shares account for over a third of invested assets
In the second quarter of 2022, assets invested by Dutch households in AEX shares amounted to €19.3 billion, compared to €34.8 billion in non-AEX shares. The shares included in the AEX index thus form a significant proportion of Dutch households' equity portfolios (35.7%).
New data from DNB shows that between 2018 and 2022, the percentage of equities in the AEX index measured by value fluctuated between 35% and 40%.