The fall in value already started in January amid rising interest rates and inflation: the value of the households’ equity portfolio fell by €2.3 billion (-3.7%) in that month. In February, the month of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the decline was €2.1 billion (-3.5%). In these months, the AEX index fell 6.3% and 2.3% respectively. In March, the total volume rose €1.3 billion (+2.3%) to €58.9 billion, while the AEX index still lost 0.8% to reach 724 points.
Large differences between listed companies
Households suffered losses mainly on shares of financial institutions. For example, the positions in Rabobank Member Certificates, which according to statistical guidelines (ESA 2010) are considered part of equity capital, decreased by €604 million (-15%) to €3.4 billion. Similarly, investments in ING Group decreased by €285 million (-14%) to €1.8 billion.
The large losses on the stock exchange were partly compensated by large positions held in Shell, the company in which Dutch households invest the most. The value of these investments actually increased by €497 million (+11%) to a total of €5.0 billion, partly driven by rising oil prices.
Remarkably, Shell's share price rose by 22% in the same period, likewise partly driven by rising oil prices. In the three months following the transfer of Shell's headquarters to the United Kingdom at the end of December 2021, Dutch households sold a net of €742 million worth of Shell shares. As a result, the increase in market value for Dutch households was limited to 11%.