Retained earnings and the current account
The current account is a key macro-economic indicator for policymakers. Following the suggestion by international policymakers, we compile an alternative measure for the current account which neutralizes several interpretation issues that exist in official figures. Our analysis shows that the alternative measure registers a lower current account surplus than the official current account figures. The three-year average for 2021-2023 under the alternative measure amounts to 7,5% of Dutch GDP whereas the official figure is 8,8%.
Gepubliceerd: 22 mei 2025
To compile the alternative measure, we combine granular information on securities held and issued internationally with company-level profit figures for the time period 2013-2023. The alternative measure records substantial additional income flows compared to the official definitions. This finding is in line with expectations, given the relatively large international assets and liabilities of the Dutch economy.
Our analysis shows that the definition of income used can have a substantial effect on the balance of the Dutch current account. The presented alternative measure provides insights to policymakers with respect to the underlying factors driving the Dutch current account surplus. It also presents an additional reason why the Netherlands has been building up less external assets since 2021 than would be expected based the official measure of the current account.
Analyses - Retained earnings and the current account
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